Photo: Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire
We track college baseball in some ways that are similar to how we track the major leagues. One set of data points that we chart is batted ball data that allows us to make estimates on a couple of Statcast stats, like hard-hit rate, barrel rate, average launch angle, and average exit velocity.
We call our tool for doing so Synthetic Statcast and it’s a useful way to look at a player’s underlying skills.
Below is a list of the batters who ranked in the 95th percentile or better in hard-hit rate in major college conferences for 2024 (ACC, Big Ten, SEC, PAC-12, Big 12).
2024 Hard-Hit Rate Leaders (% of Batted Balls 95+ MPH)
Player | Team | Hard-Hit Rate |
1. Jared Jones | LSU | 62.9% |
2. Nolan Schubart | Oklahoma | 58.1% |
3. Braden Montgomery | Texas A&M | 55.2% |
4. Jac Caglianone | Florida | 53.9% |
5. Jace Laviolette | Texas A&M | 53.6% |
6. Daniel Cuvet | Miami (FL) | 52.4% |
7. Carson DeMartini | Virginia Tech | 51.9% |
8. Charlie Condon | Georgia | 51.6% |
9. Gavin Turley | Oregon State | 51.4% |
10. Mason White | Arizona | 51.4% |
11. JJ Wetherholt | West Virginia | 50.0% |
12. Vance Honeycutt | North Carolina | 50.0% |
13. Zac Morris | Duke | 49.5% |
14. Dakota Jordan | Mississippi State | 49.0% |
15. Reed Chumley | West Virginia | 48.8% |
16. Hayden Travinski | LSU | 48.4% |
17. Cooper McMurray | Auburn | 48.3% |
18. Jimmy Obertop | Clemson | 48.2% |
19. Michael Snyder | Oklahoma | 48.1% |
20. Nick Kurtz | Wake Forest | 48.0% |
21. Cole Messina | South Carolina | 47.8% |
22. AJ Gracia | Duke | 47.6% |
23. Gavin Grahovac | Texas A&M | 47.1% |
24. Ben Miller | Duke | 47.0% |
25. Corey Collins | Georgia | 46.9% |
26. Tyler Shelnut | Florida | 46.6% |
27. Kyle West | West Virginia | 46.6% |
Some notes on the top 6 on the list:
In two seasons at LSU, Jared Jones has shown massive power, hitting 14 and then 28 home runs. At the draft combine last month he recorded exit velos as high as 113 MPH.
There may be a lot of strikeouts in Nolan Schubart’s game, but there’s a lot of pop too, as evidenced by his 59% hard-hit rate and 20% barrel rate (tied with Cameron Leary for the highest among college players we tracked). He hit 17 home runs as a freshman and 23 as a sophomore this season to offset 137 strikeouts in 389 at-bats.
Braden Montgomery suffered a rough-looking leg injury prior to the College World Series putting a damper on a season in which he hit 27 home runs and slugged .733. He made a smooth transition after playing the previous two years at Stanford.
Jac Caglianone’s presence here isn’t surprising given the two-way star’s 35-homer, .875 slugging season. What is interesting is that Caglianone’s average launch angle was 11.9 degrees, making him more line drive-friendly than any of the other Top 10 hitters (yes, we estimate average launch angle too).
Montgomery’s teammate, Jace Laviolette, announced last week that he’ll be staying at Texas A&M rather than pursuing a new school through the transfer portal. Laviolette bettered Montgomery’s 27 homers with 29 of his own in his sophomore season and should enter 2025 as a candidate to be taken near the top of the MLB Draft.
Daniel Cuvet, aka Danny Dingers, crushed the ball in his first year at Miami (24 homers, 1.165 OPS) on the way to being a freshman All American and is continuing to hit the ball with authority in the Cape Cod League.